This Jonathan Mayo guy is really starting to piss me off.
After taking my advice (sort of), he now has the Mariners not taking a college relief pitcher with the #11 pick. But instead he gave them this horrible guy.
11. Seattle Mariners: Sean Doolittle, 1B, University of Virginia
It's been generally believed, almost from the get-go, that the Mariners would be looking for an arm at No. 11. But what if none of the ones they liked were there, like Casey Weathers? There were a ton of late rumors about Doolittle shooting up into the top half of the first round, as high as No. 3. With the pitching options not what they wanted, they could go in a completely different direction.Last projection: Casey Weathers
This guy apparently is a "safe" pick, who has very little upside (thank you Hubie Brown). In fact, look at what Mayo says about him.
Today's rumor of the day regarding such a "reach" player is about Virginia's Sean Doolittle. He's a nice player, a two-way standout who most look at as a hitter and not a left-handed pitcher. He's got a good approach at the plate, should hit for average, but hasn't shown much power in college -- most people think of him as a Mark Grace type. Maybe he develops some more pop when he's not worrying about pitching at the same time, but we're not talking major home run hitter here.
No! C'mon someone awesome instead. I am hoping for Beau Mills, Philipee Aumont or Matt Dominguez.
Showing posts with label MLB draft. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MLB draft. Show all posts
Thursday, June 7, 2007
Wednesday, June 6, 2007
MLB.com...Here I Come! Eat it!
Jonathan Mayo covers the Major League Baseball draft for Major League Baseball and their website. He undoubtedly has more sources than I do throughout the league (as I have none) and may know more about the players in the draft. Ok, he definitely knows more about the players in the draft. But I took issue when I read this projection.
11. Seattle Mariners: Casey Weathers, RHP, VanderbiltIt's been generally believed, almost from the get-go, that the Mariners would be looking for an arm at No. 11. A lot of scouts like the arm of Vanderbilt closer Casey Weathers. A senior, he'd certainly be an easy sign. Too high in the draft for a reliever to go? Perhaps, but with the M's playing decent ball, the idea of drafting someone who could help the big club out in a hurry might be enticing. Weathers is the best of the college closer lot right now and could join Brandon Morrow in Seattle's bullpen very quickly.
No, no, no Jonny Boy! So I wrote him this email:
Mr. Mayo,
You project the Mariners to draft Casey Weathers at #11 due to the fact that he could help in the bullpen right now and they are playing decent ball. An interesting premise, but wrong in my opinion. As a lifelong Mariners fan, I watch them nearly every day. The bullpen doesn't need help.
Closer - JJ Putz 1.42 ERA
RH Set up – Brandon Morrow 1.74 ERA
LH Set up – George Sherrill 1.50 ERA
6th/7th – LH Eric O'Flaherty 3.12 ERA
6th/7th – RH Sean Green 3.29 ERA
Not to mention Chris Reitsma takes over that spot for Green now that he is off the DL and Mark Lowe, a successful hard throwing young set up guy from a year ago looks to be on track to come off the DL around the All-Star break.
So where does Weathers fit in? He may end up being helpful down the road, but with the exception of Reitsma, none of these guys are too old.
I am sure you have sources and inside information, but the premise that he could help right away does not make sense to me.
They are better off drafting a potential starter as they have little to no projected major league talent in the minors (maybe with the exception of Ryan Feirabend, Chris Tillman, Tony Butler, and Justin Thomas).
Thanks for your time.
Sincerely,
Brian Elsner
His response:
Fair enough, perhaps the premise is not correct, and nothing is guaranteed. The only thing I can tell you is that they’ve been on Weathers for a while…
So basically he admits that I dominate. But he also admits that his "sources" have the Mariners taking Weathers which makes me want to stab myself with a rusty screwdriver and then pour lemon juice on the wound.
11. Seattle Mariners: Casey Weathers, RHP, VanderbiltIt's been generally believed, almost from the get-go, that the Mariners would be looking for an arm at No. 11. A lot of scouts like the arm of Vanderbilt closer Casey Weathers. A senior, he'd certainly be an easy sign. Too high in the draft for a reliever to go? Perhaps, but with the M's playing decent ball, the idea of drafting someone who could help the big club out in a hurry might be enticing. Weathers is the best of the college closer lot right now and could join Brandon Morrow in Seattle's bullpen very quickly.
No, no, no Jonny Boy! So I wrote him this email:
Mr. Mayo,
You project the Mariners to draft Casey Weathers at #11 due to the fact that he could help in the bullpen right now and they are playing decent ball. An interesting premise, but wrong in my opinion. As a lifelong Mariners fan, I watch them nearly every day. The bullpen doesn't need help.
Closer - JJ Putz 1.42 ERA
RH Set up – Brandon Morrow 1.74 ERA
LH Set up – George Sherrill 1.50 ERA
6th/7th – LH Eric O'Flaherty 3.12 ERA
6th/7th – RH Sean Green 3.29 ERA
Not to mention Chris Reitsma takes over that spot for Green now that he is off the DL and Mark Lowe, a successful hard throwing young set up guy from a year ago looks to be on track to come off the DL around the All-Star break.
So where does Weathers fit in? He may end up being helpful down the road, but with the exception of Reitsma, none of these guys are too old.
I am sure you have sources and inside information, but the premise that he could help right away does not make sense to me.
They are better off drafting a potential starter as they have little to no projected major league talent in the minors (maybe with the exception of Ryan Feirabend, Chris Tillman, Tony Butler, and Justin Thomas).
Thanks for your time.
Sincerely,
Brian Elsner
His response:
Fair enough, perhaps the premise is not correct, and nothing is guaranteed. The only thing I can tell you is that they’ve been on Weathers for a while…
So basically he admits that I dominate. But he also admits that his "sources" have the Mariners taking Weathers which makes me want to stab myself with a rusty screwdriver and then pour lemon juice on the wound.
Thursday, May 3, 2007
Best MLB Draft Ever
With the recent dominance of Brandon Morrow on the mound for the beloved Mariners (until they lose four in a row, then I will be cursing them) and the absolute ridiculous overpowering dominance of local boy Tim Lincecum in AAA for San Francisco, I wondered how good last year’s draft will turn out to be.
I actually thought out loud, “I wonder how last year’s draft class will be”.
So I took a look at the top 10.
Luke Hochevar, KC – (AA) 2-2, 3.46 ERA, 26 IP, 8 BB, 32 K, 1.19 WHIP
Greg Reynolds, COL – (AA) 1-1, 2.16 ERA, 25 IP, 5 BB, 20 K, 0.92 WHIP
Evan Longoria, TB – (AA) .300, 5 HR, 19 RBI, .972 OPS
Brad Lincoln, PIT – Tommy John Surgery
Brandon Morrow, SEA – (MLB) 2-0, 3.18 ERA, 11 1/3 IP, 8 BB, 12 K
Andrew Miller, DET – (A) 1-3, 3.93 ERA, 34 1/3 IP, 11 BB, 23 K, 1.40 WHIP
Clayton Kershaw, LAD (A) 2-0, 1.08 ERA, 25 IP, 15 BB, 35 K, 1.24 WHIP
Robert Stubbs, CIN (A) - .264, 2 HR, 10 RBI, .686 OPS
Billy Rowell, BAL (A) – Injured, should start playing soon
Tim Lincecum, SF (AAA) – 4-0, 0.29 ERA, 31 IP, 11 B, 46 K, 0.74 WHIP
Lincoln will be out a long time, so he is out of the picture. The only guy really struggling (if .264 is bad) is Stubbs. Miller is in A because it is warmer in Lakeland and he pitched with Detroit last season.
So Miller and Morrow already made it to the Majors. Lincecum should be. Seriously, what else can he do in AAA? What are the Giants waiting for? He pitched 31 innings and gave up one run. ONE RUN. That is insane. As is 46 strikeouts. Call him up morons.
Longoria might be the next after that. Kershaw and Reynolds with sub 2.20 ERAs? Very good even in AA or A. Hochevar is putting up good numbers too. This might be the best top 10 ever in the history of the draft. I know it is too early to tell, but obviously teams did a good job evaluating.
If it doesn’t turn out to be that good, what draft did produce the best top 10 ever?
1985 (BJ Surhoff #1, Will Clark #2, Bobby Witt #3, Barry Larkin #4, Barry Bonds #6, Pete Incaviglia #8). Incaviglia clinches it.
1973 (Robin Yount #3, Dave Winfield #4)
1997 (JD Drew #1 although he didn’t sign, Troy Glaus #3, Vernon Wells #5, Michael Cuddyer #9, Jon Garland #10)
1999 (Josh Beckett #2, Barry Zito #9, Ben Sheets #10)
1986 (Matt Williams #3, Kevin Brown #4, Gary Sheffield #6)
1980 (Darryl Strawberry #1, Cecil Espy #8, Kelly Gruber #10)
1995 (Darin Erstad #1, Kerry Wood #4, Todd Helton #8, Geoff Jenkins #9)
2001 (Joe Mauer #1, Mark Prior #2, Mark Teixera #5)
Which just shows you how different baseball drafts are than football or basketball. Or even hockey. It is hard to project how good players will end up being.
The Mariners drafted 26 different #1 guys over the course of their history, including four #1 overall picks. How many turned into good players? All-Stars? Hall of Famers?
Hall of Fame (2) – Alex Rodriguez (#1 1993), Ken Griffey Jr (#1 in 1987)
All-Stars (2) – Dave Henderson (#26 in 1977), Jason Varitek (#14 in 1994)
Good Contributors (2) – Mike Moore (#1 in 1981), Tino Martinez (#14 in 1988)
Decent Players (6) – Darnell Coles (#6 in 1980), Spike Owen (#6 in 1982), Bill Swift (#2 in 1984), Ron Villone (#14 in 1992), Jose Cruz Jr (#3 in 1995), and Gil Meche (#22 in 1996)
Huh? (11) – Tito Nanni (#6 in 1978), Al Chambers (#1 in 1979), Darrel Akerfelds (#7 in 1983), Mike Campbell (#7 in 1985), Patrick Lennon (#8 in 1986), Roger Salkeld (#3 in 1989), Marc Newfield (#6 in 1990), Aaron Estes (#11 in 1991), Ryan Anderson (#19 in 1997), Matt Thornton (#22 in 1998), Ryan Christensen (#11 in 1999), and John Mayberry Jr. (#28 in 2002)
Jury is still out on Jeff Clement and Brandon Morrow.
No wonder the M’s have never won a World Series. Look at them blow top 10 picks from 1978-1984 and then with Pat Gillick signing free agents left and right, no 1st round pick in 2000, 2001, 2003, or 2004. Oh plus A-Rod, Griffey, and Varitek are all on other teams. Nice.
I actually thought out loud, “I wonder how last year’s draft class will be”.
So I took a look at the top 10.
Luke Hochevar, KC – (AA) 2-2, 3.46 ERA, 26 IP, 8 BB, 32 K, 1.19 WHIP
Greg Reynolds, COL – (AA) 1-1, 2.16 ERA, 25 IP, 5 BB, 20 K, 0.92 WHIP
Evan Longoria, TB – (AA) .300, 5 HR, 19 RBI, .972 OPS
Brad Lincoln, PIT – Tommy John Surgery
Brandon Morrow, SEA – (MLB) 2-0, 3.18 ERA, 11 1/3 IP, 8 BB, 12 K
Andrew Miller, DET – (A) 1-3, 3.93 ERA, 34 1/3 IP, 11 BB, 23 K, 1.40 WHIP
Clayton Kershaw, LAD (A) 2-0, 1.08 ERA, 25 IP, 15 BB, 35 K, 1.24 WHIP
Robert Stubbs, CIN (A) - .264, 2 HR, 10 RBI, .686 OPS
Billy Rowell, BAL (A) – Injured, should start playing soon
Tim Lincecum, SF (AAA) – 4-0, 0.29 ERA, 31 IP, 11 B, 46 K, 0.74 WHIP
Lincoln will be out a long time, so he is out of the picture. The only guy really struggling (if .264 is bad) is Stubbs. Miller is in A because it is warmer in Lakeland and he pitched with Detroit last season.
So Miller and Morrow already made it to the Majors. Lincecum should be. Seriously, what else can he do in AAA? What are the Giants waiting for? He pitched 31 innings and gave up one run. ONE RUN. That is insane. As is 46 strikeouts. Call him up morons.
Longoria might be the next after that. Kershaw and Reynolds with sub 2.20 ERAs? Very good even in AA or A. Hochevar is putting up good numbers too. This might be the best top 10 ever in the history of the draft. I know it is too early to tell, but obviously teams did a good job evaluating.
If it doesn’t turn out to be that good, what draft did produce the best top 10 ever?
1985 (BJ Surhoff #1, Will Clark #2, Bobby Witt #3, Barry Larkin #4, Barry Bonds #6, Pete Incaviglia #8). Incaviglia clinches it.
1973 (Robin Yount #3, Dave Winfield #4)
1997 (JD Drew #1 although he didn’t sign, Troy Glaus #3, Vernon Wells #5, Michael Cuddyer #9, Jon Garland #10)
1999 (Josh Beckett #2, Barry Zito #9, Ben Sheets #10)
1986 (Matt Williams #3, Kevin Brown #4, Gary Sheffield #6)
1980 (Darryl Strawberry #1, Cecil Espy #8, Kelly Gruber #10)
1995 (Darin Erstad #1, Kerry Wood #4, Todd Helton #8, Geoff Jenkins #9)
2001 (Joe Mauer #1, Mark Prior #2, Mark Teixera #5)
Which just shows you how different baseball drafts are than football or basketball. Or even hockey. It is hard to project how good players will end up being.
The Mariners drafted 26 different #1 guys over the course of their history, including four #1 overall picks. How many turned into good players? All-Stars? Hall of Famers?
Hall of Fame (2) – Alex Rodriguez (#1 1993), Ken Griffey Jr (#1 in 1987)
All-Stars (2) – Dave Henderson (#26 in 1977), Jason Varitek (#14 in 1994)
Good Contributors (2) – Mike Moore (#1 in 1981), Tino Martinez (#14 in 1988)
Decent Players (6) – Darnell Coles (#6 in 1980), Spike Owen (#6 in 1982), Bill Swift (#2 in 1984), Ron Villone (#14 in 1992), Jose Cruz Jr (#3 in 1995), and Gil Meche (#22 in 1996)
Huh? (11) – Tito Nanni (#6 in 1978), Al Chambers (#1 in 1979), Darrel Akerfelds (#7 in 1983), Mike Campbell (#7 in 1985), Patrick Lennon (#8 in 1986), Roger Salkeld (#3 in 1989), Marc Newfield (#6 in 1990), Aaron Estes (#11 in 1991), Ryan Anderson (#19 in 1997), Matt Thornton (#22 in 1998), Ryan Christensen (#11 in 1999), and John Mayberry Jr. (#28 in 2002)
Jury is still out on Jeff Clement and Brandon Morrow.
No wonder the M’s have never won a World Series. Look at them blow top 10 picks from 1978-1984 and then with Pat Gillick signing free agents left and right, no 1st round pick in 2000, 2001, 2003, or 2004. Oh plus A-Rod, Griffey, and Varitek are all on other teams. Nice.
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